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2022 Raleigh Relays Preview (Part Two)

  • Writer: Admin (Garrett Zatlin)
    Admin (Garrett Zatlin)
  • Mar 24, 2022
  • 18 min read

Updated: Mar 26, 2022


And we're back!


Just like yesterday, I had my fellow Blue Oval Podcast co-host Ben Weisel review each of the distance fields at the Raleigh Relays and then offer a few questions for me to analyze and answer. Admittedly, some of the questions may be a little similar to yesterday, but that's because those questions are the best method when it comes to evaluating these fields!


Today, we are doing Part Two, which covers the women's 1500 meters, the men's steeplechase, the women's steeplechase, the women's 5000 meters, the men's 10,000 meters, the women's 800 meters and the men's 800 meters.


Some of these fields are truthfully much better, much larger and potentially more impactful than others, so certain events will have less questions to analyze in this preview.


Alright, here we go...


Women's 1500 Meters


Amongst the collegiates, who are the favorites in this field?

I'm looking at three or four names who could come away with top collegiate honors. The three women who are most likely to do that are Katelyn Tuohy (NC State), Ellie Leather (Cincinnati), Anna Gibson (Washington) and then as a bonus, maybe Mia Barnett (Virginia).


Each of these women boast an elite level of talent, but there are certain questions that we don't have the answers to when it comes to some of these women contesting the 1500 meters.


Tuohy was electric at the indoor national meet in the 3k and the 5k, but how will she translate her success to a shorter race like the 1500 meters which is a slight drop down in distance for her?


Gibson threw down a monster mile PR of 4:32 this past winter and was outstanding in a few select regular season meets. However, she faltered a bit at the indoor national meet. Which version of Gibson will we see on Friday?


Mia Barnett is a talented youngster and was nearly an unanimous winner for our "Best Freshman Award" if SOMEONE hadn't been difficult and not voted for Allison Johnson.


*cough* me *cough*


Barnett is phenomenal and if she carries he progression from the winter season into this race, then I don't know if anyone will be able to keep up with her. Still, she's young and as great as she was on the indoor oval, the Virginia rookie proved that wasn't totally unbeatable, either.


Honestly, the only runner who I have zero reservations about is Ellie Leather. She was unbelievable this past winter. She ran a 4:34 mile PR, took down upper-echelon milers on numerous occasions and is fresh off of a 3rd place All-American finish in the mile from a few weeks ago.


I can't find a flaw on Leather's resume and given the way that she is racing, I think I like her the most in this field. However, if anyone is going to take her down, then it's probably going to be Tuohy. The NC State phenom may be flat-out too good to lose right now, even if she is dropping down in distance.


I feel like I'm disrespecting Tuohy too much here, but I also want to respect what Leather has done. For that reason, I'm taking the Cincinnati ace...but I don't feel great about that.


Which athlete(s) should have made it into the fastest 1500 meter heat, but didn't?

Can I say over half of heat two?


Anna Juul (Harvard), Maia Ramsden (Harvard), Katie Osika (Michigan State), Allie Ludge (Grand Valley State), Andrea Claeson (Boston U.), Celine Ritter (Lee (Tenn.)), Klaudia O'Malley (Grand Valley State), Megan Marvin (Furman), Anna Marian Block (Georgia) all have mile personal bests under 4:40 or 1500 meter personal bests under 4:20.


And before you say anything, yes, I'm aware that those two times aren't perfect equivalents. And yes, I'm also aware that if that many women own similar personal bests, then it probably makes sense that they are all in the same heat together.


I personally feel like Anna Juul was robbed of a spot in the fastest heat. She owns a 4:36 mile personal best, ran an en route 1500 meter time of 4:18 this past winter and ran 4:40 or faster four different times since the first week of February.


I struggle to see how she was left out of the top heat when a few select names were pushed ahead of her in the seeding. The top heat is very much capable of running something super fast and I like to think that Juul would have thrived in that field.


As for Johns Hopkins' star Ella Baran, who smashed the D3 mile record this past winter with a time of 4:40, it makes sense why she is in heat two. That seems like a good fit for her. Still, I thought it would have been fun to see one of the best distance runners in D3 history stack up against some of the better talents that D1 has to offer.


Who is due for a breakout performance?

Again, this largely depends on what you consider to be a "breakout" performance. Virginia's Margot Appleton, who is in heat one, should be a major name to watch.


She ran a 4:37 mile PR at the ACC Indoor Championships this past indoor season. However, the UVA rookie may be better known for her DMR split at the same meet where she outran NC State superstar Kelsey Chmiel en route to a 2nd place finish (behind Virginia Tech) and earned a jaw-dropping 4:33 split.


Appleton is better than her 4:37 mile PR indicates and her DMR split tells us that she thrives when facing elite competition. It also doesn't hurt that she was clearly peaking at the right time in March, so she may have a ton of momentum heading into this meet.


As for the rest of the names in this field, I have to say that most of these women are fairly well established OR are coming off of recent performances that don't make them "sleeper" picks.


I want to say that NC State's Nevada Mareno is due for something big after a rollercoaster career where she has battled injuries and setbacks. I've been saying for years now that she is one of the most underrated 1500 meter runners on the east coast, but she hasn't been able to string together a season as perfectly as I think she's capable of.


Mareno has been pretty quiet as of late, so I like to think that she'll come out swinging on Friday as she works to reestablish herself as one of the best in the NCAA.


Of course, if we're going to talk about Mareno, then we definitely need to talk about fellow NC State teammate Marlee Starliper. She's back!


The Pennsylvania native was a high school phenom and joined the Wolfpack the same year that Tuohy did. Her personal bests are 4:37 for 1600 meters, 9:54 for 3200 meters and a jaw-dropping 9:07 for 3000 meters.


Starliper, when she's at her best, is one of the most talented young women in the country. However, she has been battling an injury for nearly the past two years, delaying her college debut.


Until now.


With Starliper entered in the fastest 1500 meter heat of the day, one has to believe that the NC State coaching staff is confident in her fitness right now. That's admittedly a bold jump for the Wolfpack rookie who has been injured for two years and has never raced collegiately.


Then again, I have a hunch that Starliper and Coach Henes probably know how to approach that scenario far better than I do.


Which non-D1 athletes are names to watch?

I already mentioned her in an above question, but I really like Ella Baran in heat two. The Johns Hopkins superstar was incredible this past winter, running 4:40 in the mile, running 9:13 in the 3000 meters and eventually winning a mile national title.


In a field of talented women who have run under 4:40 in the mile (or under 4:20 in the 1500 meters), I think we're going to see a race where Baran really thrives. With the potential exception of Anna Juul, none of the women in this field are clearly and obviously better than her.


This 1500 meter race will be quick, but it probably won't be overwhelmingly quick. That should give Baran a chance to carry herself to a new PR, maybe in the 4:16 to 4:17 range. That wouldn't be a D3 record, but it would be an all-time mark.


As for a few of these other women, I'll be curious to see how Ritter, O'Malley and Ludge perform. These D2 superstars have been excellent throughout their careers and each woman had varying degrees of success this past winter.


For Ritter, this race is all about trying to translate her 3k and 5k success from this past winter to a shorter distance like the 1500 meters. For O'Malley, this race is about trying to build on her momentum from the last few months. For Ludge, this race is about shaking off a tough showing at the indoor national meet and returning to her place amongst the D2 elites.


Final Predictions (all heats, collegiates only):

  1. Ellie Leather (Cincinnati)

  2. Katelyn Tuohy (NC State)

  3. Anna Gibson (Washington)

  4. Mia Barnett (Virginia)

  5. Margot Appleton (Virginia)

  6. Grace Jensen (Vanderbilt)

  7. Anna Juul (Harvard) -- Heat 14

  8. Shannon Flockhart (Providence)


Women's 3000 Meter Steeplechase


What percent chance do you give Villanova's Lydia Olivere to win this race? In what time? Who will be her biggest challengers?

All things considered, I'd say that Olivere probably has a 50% chance to win and if I had to guess, I would say the winning time is probably in the low 10 minute range, probably around 10:02 or 10:03.


To some people reading this, that percentage may seem like a low number...until you realize that I'm not giving any other woman in this steeplechase field more than a 20% chance to walk away with gold.


Olivere is undoubtedly the best steeplechaser in this field. She ran 9:49 for the event last June (unattached) and eventually qualified for the Olympic Trials. She has a wide range of strong personal bests in everything from the 1500 meters up to the 5000 meters and historically, her best performances come in the postseason.


That last part is important.


For as good as Olivere is, she has never run faster than 10:24 in her two season debuts in the steeplechase throughout her career. That's largely not a big deal considering what she's done in the second-half of her seasons, but I think we have to keep that in mind for this weekend.


Am I still picking her to win? Yes, definitely. Olivere is just too good, specifically in the steeplechase. However, the other women in this field are not going to make things easy for her.


UConn's Mia Nahom is a very underrated and an underappreciated talent. She ran 4:35 in the mile this past winter and easily has the most momentum out of anyone in this field. If she was able to make that kind of improvement in the mile this winter, the what will she do to her steeplechase PR which currently sits at 9:58?


Meanwhile, Georgetown's Kiera Bothwell has made some solid improvements of her own and boasts a personal best of 10:03 for the event. Eastern Kentucky's Laura Taborda has also run 10:06 for the steeplechase and hails from a program that is known for its steeplechase excellence.


Heck, even Villanova teammate Anna Helwigh could be a factor in this race with her 10:05 steeplechase personal best.


So is Olivere the clear favorite? Yes, but this will not be an easy field for her by any means.


History suggests that Olivere will run much faster later in the season, but gosh, it's hard to bet against someone who has a 9:49 personal best.


List three of the most underappreciated steeplechase runners in this field and give one sentence worth of analysis why you think they are underappreciated.


Aziza Chigatayeva (Binghamton): When you pair her 10:15 steeplechase personal best with her three new PRs from this past indoor season, you begin to realize that Chigatayeva may be in store for a sub-10:15 steeplechase PR this weekend.


Janette Schraft (Iowa State): If you look at her cross country performances this past fall and pair those finishes with her improved turnover in middle distance events like the mile, then Schraft looks like she could play a larger role in this race than initially anticipated.


Alexa Leppelmeier (Walsh): Not only is she an established veteran who is super consistent, but she's coming off a D2 indoor national meet where she earned two personal bests and two All-American honors.


Final Predictions (all heats, collegiates only):

  1. Lydia Olivere (Villanova)

  2. Mia Nahom (Connecticut)

  3. Kiera Bothwell (Georgetown)

  4. Anna Helwigh (Villanova)

  5. Janette Schraft (Iowa State)

  6. Laura Taborda (Eastern Kentucky)

  7. Alexa Leppelmeier (Walsh)

  8. Aziza Chigatayeva (Binghamton)


Men's 3000 Meter Steeplechase


What percent chance do you give Minnesota's Alec Basten to win this race? In what time? Who will be his biggest challengers?

Gosh, I feel like this is so disrespectful to someone who is so incredibly talented, but I'd say that Basten probably has a 40% chance to win this race. However, just like Olivere, I do believe that he's the outright favorite to win this race and that no other collegiate in this field has higher than a 10% chance of winning.


In terms of a top collegiate time, this field is pretty loaded, so I could realistically see this race being pushed into the high-8:30s or the low-8:40s (official prediction of 8:37). That would be pretty quick for an early-season opener. Most of the fastest steeplechase times in the NCAA don't usually come until the end of the season.


Here's the thing. Basten is an elite steeplechaser. He ran 8:29 in the event last spring which gave him a silver medal at the outdoor national meet. He also lowered his 5k PR last winter to 13:32 for an All-American finish at the indoor national meet which was wildly impressive.


Basten is, without question, the most talented distance runner in this field and much like Olivere, his best races typically come in the latter-half of the season. However, his steeplechase consistency is pretty impressive, never running slower than 8:41 in five attempts last spring.


However, the thing about the rest of this field is that all but one entrant in the fastest heat owns a 3k steeplechase PR under 8:50. In a field of 15 entrants, including pros, that's a ton of depth to try and fend off.


Not only that, but guys like Michigan's Christian Hubaker, Louisville's Albert Kosgei and Washington's Joe Waskom all own personal best under 8:40. On paper, they are big enough threats to potentially challenge and take down Basten.


The biggest challenger to watch has to be Waskom. He was unbelievable this past winter, knocking down his mile PR from 4:04 to 3:59 to 3:56. He was a key member of Washington's DMR at the national meet and he clearly elevated his fitness to a new level this year.


Waskom's personal bests came at the tail-end of the winter season and right now, no one in this field has more momentum than he does. With a steeplechase personal best of 8:35 from last spring, and a clear jump upwards in fitness, this Husky ace looks like he could be a legitimate threat to Basten.


Who are you the most unsure about in this steeple field?

I have to say VMI's Gavin Jenkins. I just have zero clue what to expect from him. His 8:44 steeplechase PR is fairly impressive and it firmly puts him in the mix when looking at the personal bests from the rest of this field.


However, the next-best time on Jenkins' resume is 8:54 and after that, his next-best time is an 8:59. The other six steeple marks on his resume are all above 9:00.


The 2021 outdoor track season was an exciting one for Jenkins who went from 9:07 to 8:59 to 8:54 to 8:44. That progression was very encouraging to see. However, the real question is whether or not Jenkins will be able to pick up where he left off.


It's also hard to know exactly where his fitness is at right now. When you look at all of the other times on his resume, Jenkins' best marks in events like the mile, 3k or 5k aren't anywhere close to the same caliber of his best steeplechase accolades.


I have a handful of questions about all of these runners, but none more so than Jenkins.


Final Predictions (all heats, collegiates only):

  1. Alec Basten (Minnesota)

  2. Joe Waskom (Washington)

  3. Christian Hubaker (Michigan)

  4. Matthew Wilkinson (Minnesota)

  5. Albert Kosgei (Louisville)

  6. Caleb Futter (Grand Valley State)

  7. Josh Higgins (Pittsburgh)

  8. Austin Remick (Michigan)


Women's 5000 Meters


With both Bailey Hertenstein and Sydney Seymour in the transfer portal, whose value could rise the most with a good performance this weekend?

Personally, I don't think Hertenstein's value can rise much more. She is a two-time All-American on the grass, has run 4:35 in the mile (which recently qualified her for the indoor national meet) and she owns a personal best of 15:38 for 5000 meters.


The chances of Hertenstein improving upon that 5k PR this weekend aren't super high and even if she does, it probably won't be by a lot.


Seymour, however, has everything to gain.


She has run 15:47 for 5000 meters, a personal best that she recently posted at the SEC Indoor Championships this past winter. If she can continue to build upon that mark, then she'll go from being a solid distance who is on the rise, to a national-caliber standout.


Not only that, but the NC State women would be the PERFECT landing spot for Seymour. The Wolfpack need an established All-American-caliber veteran to eventually replace the eventual departures of key scorers like Hannah Steelman, Alexandra Hays and Dominique Clairmonte.


Having a good performance this weekend on NC State's home track would be huge for Seymour's value as a graduate transfer as she could put on a showcase for a program that will likely need her services.


Plus, the Wolfpack coaching staff hasn't been afraid to invest in athletes from the transfer portal. Just ask Hannah Steelman and Alexandra Hays...


Which NC State runner is more likely to finish higher: Hannah Steelman, Savannah Shaw or Samantha Bush?

Honestly, I don't know if there's a "wrong" answer here.


Hannah Steelman is the most accomplished distance talent of this NC State trio, but she is coming off of an injury that kept her out for the entirety of the indoor track season. She has also been a rabbit for the Raleigh Relays in the past.


Shaw, meanwhile, may not have the same credentials that Steelman or Bush do in terms of All-American honors, but she has run 4:39 for the mile and 15:40 in the 5000 meters. That 5k PR is substantially faster than Bush's personal best and it's only 10 seconds off of Steelman's personal best of 15:30 (which is a blazing fast time).


As for Bush, she definitely has the most current momentum compared to Steelman and Shaw. Her 8:54 personal best for 3000 meters this past winter was incredible and her 4:37 mile speed was also promising. With a recent All-American honor under her belt, it's hard to dislike anything that she has done this year.


In the end, I think I have to go with Bush. She has run too well as of late to not post something fairly quick in this 5k field. If she didn't have such great cross country success, I'd maybe reconsider, but she was an All-American on the grass over 6000 meters and frankly, I don't really have a reason to doubt her.


That said, we have no guarantee as to how Bush's recent fitness translate to the 5k. We also have no idea what kind of fitness Steelman is in.


So while I am saying Bush, I truly think that any of these three women could emerge as the top NC State runner in this 5k field.


Who is the most likely to have a breakout performance?

I think we have to look at the second-fastest 5k heat for this question as I'm not entirely sure I see a true breakout candidate in the top heat. And honestly, even in the second-fastest heat, I still question how many of these women could truly have "breakout" performances.


Women like Brynn Brown (North Carolina), Madison Heisterman (Washington) and Eusila Chepkemei (Middle Tennessee State) are due for new 5k personal bests, but would anyone be surprised if they run in the 15:50s? Personally, I don't think I would be surprised, and I'm not even sure if I would be surprised about a time in the high 15:40 range, either.


However, I am a big fan of Wake Forest's Mackenna Curtis-Collins. I think she is due for a monumental performance.


The former Malone runner has really found her groove in Winston-Salem, North Carolina. In the 3k, she ran under 9:20 three different times this year, including a mark of 9:14 on two separate occasions.


One of those 3k results was on a flat-track, meaning that her time converted to a mark of 9:10.


Keep in mind that Curtis-Collins' 5k personal best of 16:21 was run last spring. However, since then, she has obviously made a leap in fitness. She is clearly so much stronger than she was before this year and that is evident by her consistently running near (or at) her 3k personal best this past winter.


At the same time, her consistency also suggests that she may be due for a personal best.


I'll say Curtis-Collins ends up running 15:52 this weekend and firmly establishes herself as a top name in the ACC this spring.


Final Predictions (all heats, collegiates only):

  1. Samantha Bush (NC State)

  2. Kayley DeLay (Yale)

  3. Sydney Seymour (Tennessee)

  4. Nicole Fegans (Georgia Tech)

  5. Hannah Steelman (NC State)

  6. Bethany Graham (Furman)

  7. Savannah Shaw (NC State)

  8. Bailey Hertenstein (Indiana)


Men's 10,000 Meters


Which Washington runner finishes the highest in this field: Tibebu Proctor, Talon Hull, Brian Fay or Kieran Lumb?

Much like the NC State women, I don't necessarily know if there is a "wrong" answer to this, although I'll admit, some options are "more correct" than others.


Kieran Lumb is an established star who ran 3:55 in the mile this past winter. However, an early injury knocked him out of the indoor season. His 10k personal best is a lethal mark of 28:17, but does he have enough aerobic base to mimic a time like that this weekend after coming off of an injury?


Brian Fay, meanwhile, ran 3:55 in the mile this year and also ran 13:24 for 5000 meters, an event where that he earned All-American honors in.


The Irish distance star has run 28:41 for 10,000 meters and is clearly at an elite level of fitness right now. However, is his fitness better suited for a race as long as the 10k?


Proctor is a long-time Washington veteran who has built his reputation in the longer distances, specifically the 10k. He has run 28:31 for the distance, although some of his seasons have been better than others.


As for Hull, he's another long distance Washington veteran. He's fairly dynamic by boasting 3:59 mile speed, but his 10k personal best of 28:51 is the slowest of this Washington group.


At the end of the day, I think Fay is the somewhat clear option here. Lumb is coming off of an injury, I'm not entirely sure what to expect from Proctor and Hull would need a pretty major PR to contend as the top Husky in this field.


Fay is just running so much better than any of his teammates right now. I don't see him having a poor race this weekend.


From a cross country perspective, which team would benefit the most from having one of their entrants in this 10k field throw down a fast time?

I think it has to be North Carolina's John Tatter. The long-time Tar Heel, who was initially at the University of Michigan to start his college career, has been slowly improving under the tutelage of Coach Miltenberg.


Last spring, Tatter ran a 5k personal best of 13:54. This past winter, he ran another promising 5k time of 13:58. His 10k personal best sits at 29:22.


Tatter is clearly a solid talent, but this North Carolina team is VERY young and they will still be young seven to eight months from now. That's why it would be massive to have an established veteran be part of that national meet lineup and offer some guaranteed scoring potency.


There's no question that the UNC men are going to be a major problem for their ACC and NCAA competitors next fall and in the future. However, underclassmen don't (usually) offer the same scoring stability that veterans do. That seems like a fair take.


If Tatter can join the sub-29 club and translate that fitness to the grass, then the men from Chapel Hill will have some valuable scoring insurance for next fall.


Over / Under 7.5 men who run under 29:00? Why?

Allow me to write out my thought process.


Athans Kioko (Campbell), Barry Keane (Butler) and Brian Fay (Washington) feel like locks to go under that 29:00 barrier. Not just because they've done it before (Kioko in XC), but because they had incredible indoor track seasons which suggest that they are much better 29:00.


I also think Matt Young (Georgetown) and Acer Iverson (Harvard) will dip under the 29:00 barrier as well. They had fantastic 5k efforts this past winter, running 13:39 and 13:32, respectively. Their fitness is at all-time highs right now and they both lean towards the longer distances.


In this field, I think it's more likely than not that they run under 29:00.


I think I also like Charlotte's Nickolas Scudder to run under 29 minutes. He has a personal best of 28:54, but his recent surge in personal bests this past winter is encouraging and it makes me think that he'll replicate his PR this weekend.


After that, it feels like there's about a million and a half different guys who could run under 29:00. However, I don't have tons of certainty as to who those names are. So many men have personal bests between 29:00 and 29:20. Anyone of those men could have a breakout race and dip into the sub-29 range.


I'll say three additional men do so, those runners being Tibebu Proctor (Washington), Isaac Harding (Grand Valley State) and Aaron Las Heras (Wake Forest).


That brings our total to nine sub-29 runners, giving me a semi-comfortable "over" answer.


For perspective, five men ran under 29:00 last spring at this same meet. Sure, that makes my prediction a bit aggressive, but given the amount of talent in this field, I think it's very possible. I do think that somewhere along the lines of five names only break the 29 minute barrier by a couple of seconds.


Final Predictions (all heats, collegiates only):

  1. Athanas Kioko (Campbell)

  2. Barry Keane (Butler)

  3. Brian Fay (Washington)

  4. Acer Iverson (Harvard)

  5. Nickolas Scudder (Charlotte)

  6. Matt Young (Georgetown)

  7. Tibebu Proctor (Washington)

  8. Isaac Harding (Grand Valley State)


Women's 800 Meters


Give your top-three contenders to win (amongst collegiates) and assign percentages as to how likely they are to win.

I'll give Isabella Giesing (UMass Lowell) a 30% chance to win...but she's not the favorite in my eyes. The UMass Lowell star has become fairly established in the half-mile distance and debatably has more momentum than any other collegiate half-miler in this field. She recently qualified for the indoor national meet and ran 2:03 for the 800 meter distance earlier this month.


Brooke Fazio (Richmond), however, is a bit more experienced than Giesing and is arguably more established. She also ran 2:03 recently (at the IC4A Championships) and actually owns a personal best faster than Giesing's PR with a mark of 2:02. All things considered, I'm giving Fazio a 40% chance.


This leaves D3 superstar Esther Seeland (Messiah) with a 20% chance to win and the rest of the field with a 10% chance to win. Don't get me wrong, Seeland is an amazing middle distance talent, but consistently running against the top women in D1 vs the top women in D3 does make a difference.


Seeland's indoor 800 meter times this past winter just weren't as fast as what we saw from Giesing and Fazio. Still, her 2:02 personal best makes her a very real threat in this race. She could absolutely be the top collegiate in the right setting.


Final Predictions (all heats, collegiates only):

  1. Brooke Fazio (Richmond)

  2. Isabella Giesing (UMass Lowell)

  3. Esther Seeland (Messiah)

  4. Katherine Mitchell (Boston College)

  5. Jo-Lauren Keane (West Virginia)

  6. Kelly Mindak (Indiana) -- Heat 13

  7. Anna Gibson (Washington) -- Heat 13

  8. Anastasia Korzenowski (Minnesota) -- Heat 13


Men's 800 Meters


Give your top-three contenders to win (amongst collegiates) and assign percentages as to how likely they are to win.

The Michigan men have to dominate in terms of the winning percentages. Johnson was an 800 meter All-American a few weeks ago and Brown was a national qualifier as well. Both men ran 1:47 this past winter.


I'll give Johnson the edge thanks to his experience and recent success. I'll say that he has a 35% chance to win while Brown has a 30% chance to win. Outside of those two, I think the field is pretty wide open.


I would give Northeastern's Reed Cherry a 15% chance to take home the win while Indiana's Parker Raymond probably has around a 10% chance.


Cherry ran 1:48 four different times this past winter, so he may be on the verge of a breakout performance. Plus, at the very least, if any of the favorites falter, then there's a good chance that Cherry will hang on for the win or at the very least, a top finish.


As for Raymond, he wasn't incredible individually this past winter, but he was outstanding in distance medley relays and he owns a personal best of 1:48. If he gets in the right race, then he could be fairly dangerous.


The last 10% gets spread out throughout the rest of the field somewhat evenly.


Final Predictions (all heats, collegiates only):

  1. Cole Johnson (Michigan)

  2. Miles Brown (Michigan)

  3. Reed Cherry (Northeastern)

  4. Parker Raymond (Indiana)

  5. Conor Murphy (Virginia)

  6. Camden Marshall (Indiana) -- Heat 14

  7. Dennis Mbuta (Grand Valley State)

  8. Cooper Williams (Indiana)

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