One Sentence Previews: 2022 NCAA Outdoor Championships Men's 10k (D3)

Additional contributions by Garrett Zatlin

NOTE: Athletes are listed in order of their seed position. Final predictions are at the bottom.

The runaway favorite by a long shot, there should be no surprises as to who will walk away with the national title given Phillip’s dominance this year...barring any mishaps, of course.

With fantastic momentum under his belt and looking better week by week, can Dailey help secure an increasingly more likely 1-2 John Carroll finish in this event?

Morris has only raced once since his 29:36 mark at the Raleigh Relays, which brews some minor concerns, but it may be a calculated move to keep him fresh and help him peak for this event.

A reigning All-American in this race, Gregg’s performances this year have trended in a positive direction and point towards another potential All-American finish, specifically because of the fact that he has won the last three races that he has finished.

Achieving his revenge for missing the indoor national meet, Heys will be a very solid contender in this 10k field and will get another opportunity to race regional foes in Phillip and Dailey, familiarity which could do him wonders on the national stage.

Weiss broke out onto the scene with his 29:40 performance at Bryan Clay, but a recent 14:20 mark for 5000 meters shows us that he’s trending in a very positive direction even if he lacks substantial 10k experience.

Flying under the radar for most of the cross country season, the All-American from the grass seems poised to compete for his first All-American honor on the track as he is beginning to prove that he can consistently run at a high level.

Since his 29:42 performance at the Phil Esten Challenge, Lavey’s performances have not been up to par, but his 10,000 meter win at the MIAC Championships, albeit in a slower race, is a testament to his ability to compete tactically.

Myers has raced a mixed bag of distances since his 29:44 mark from back in March, including an eye-opening 3:48.73 result in the 1500 meters, and although his previous national meet performances haven’t been spectacular, he’s still one to keep an eye out for in the closing stages of the 10,000 meters.

Craig has only finished one race since running 29:44 which could point to a matter of concern, but if he can perform like he did at the indoor national meet, then he should be set up well to compete near the front of this 10,000 meter race.

While his last few races have been a bit underwhelming, Fassbender’s postseason success in the 2021-2022 athletic year points toward good things for the Warhawk ace who is one of the most experienced men in this field.

Salazar’s 800/1500/5k/10k quadruple at the HCAC Championships was remarkable, but he hasn’t had much competition since earning his qualifying mark, leaving us to wonder how he will he fare in this highly competitive field.

Tuohy-Gaydos has been very lightly raced this outdoor season which should, in theory, speak to his upside at the NCAA Championships as nearly every race that he has run in 2022 has been very solid despite his youth.

His 29:52 qualifying mark came from the first week of March which points to an extremely long racing season, but Monaghan silenced all doubters by running 14:12 in the 5000 meters last weekend, proving that he’s still firing on all cylinders and maybe even peaking at the right time.

Yet another qualifier from the Wash. U. Distance Carnival, Moon has been somewhat up and down this outdoor season, although he has flexed his range, posting a very impressive 3:47.87 mark for 1500 meters along with a 14:18 performance in the 5000 meters.

Schultz has exploded this spring, running 14:18 in the 5000 meters and 29:54 in the 10,000 meters, but his last two 5000 meter performances have not been amazing, leaving us wondering which version of Schultz we'll see at the national meet.

We’re starting to see Elias Lindgren return to top form in a great way as he ran 29:55 in the 10,000 meters this spring along with some great 5000 meter performances, making him the biggest dark horse in this field.

Another guy on this list whose made some stellar improvements in 2022, Berhe has slowly chipped away at his PRs this season, but only down to 14:35 in the 5000 meters, which is a bit behind most of the guys in this field in terms of 5k personal bests.

Love has national meet experience from this past winter and his recent 29:56 mark came at a very clutch time, giving him a very underrated resume going into Thursday.

With a scratch, Schlender scraped his way into this 10,000 meter event with his 29:57 performance from the Wash. U. Distance Carnival and although we haven’t seen marks from him at that level (or better) since then, he did bounce back with a 1500 meter PR last week.